Inside the $5 Billion Northvolt Loan That Was Partly a Refinancing

January 17, 2024
Inside the $5 Billion Northvolt Loan That Was Partly a Refinancing

Northvolt has raised $5 billion of debt for its flagship battery factory in northern Sweden. It is the largest European battery financing Enerdatics recorded across 2023 and 2024. Yet not all of it is new money, and not all of the risk sits with the 23 commercial banks in the syndicate. The structure behind the headline says more about who was willing to back European battery making than the number does.

Key takeaways

  • Northvolt announced on 16 January 2024 that it had raised a $5 billion non-recourse project financing to expand Northvolt Ett, its lithium-ion battery manufacturing and recycling facility in Skelleftea, Sweden.
  • Northvolt's $5 billion financing for Northvolt Ett includes the refinancing of a previous $1.6 billion debt package, so the new money is at most $3.4 billion.
  • The European Investment Bank is providing $1.038 billion of Northvolt's $5 billion financing, of which $500 million is guaranteed by the Swedish National Debt Office and $400 million under the European Commission's InvestEU programme.
  • Northvolt raised the $5 billion Northvolt Ett financing on the back of long-term customer offtake contracts worth more than $55 billion, from buyers including BMW, Fluence, Scania, Volvo Cars and Volkswagen Group.
  • Export credit agencies Euler Hermes, KEXIM, NEXI and K-Sure, together with the Swedish National Debt Office, are providing guarantees and direct funding within Northvolt's $5 billion Northvolt Ett financing.

What is the $5 billion actually paying for?

It pays for growth at a factory that already works. Northvolt Ett started construction in October 2019 and delivered its first lithium-ion cells to a European car maker in May 2022. Its annual capacity now stands at 60 GWh, enough cells for about one million electric vehicles a year.

The new money goes into two parts of the site. The first is cathode production and cell manufacturing, the core of the battery line. The second is Revolt Ett, the recycling plant next door, which recovers battery-grade metals with a carbon footprint 70 percent lower than mined material. Together they are meant to give Northvolt a fully integrated, circular production setup, a setup that had not previously existed outside Asia.

A non-recourse project financing is lent against the project itself rather than against the parent company. If the project fails, lenders can claim the project's assets and cash flows but cannot pursue Northvolt's wider balance sheet. That is why the lenders' confidence rests so heavily on the factory's own revenue.

Why is part of the money not new?

Because the package rolls up an earlier loan. The financing includes refinancing a previous $1.6 billion debt package. Replacing old debt with new debt does not add capacity, but it does change the terms Northvolt lives with. A single larger facility can extend maturities and consolidate lenders under one set of covenants.

The practical effect is that the headline overstates the fresh capital going into the expansion. Take out the refinanced amount and the new money is at most $3.4 billion. That is still a very large sum for a single manufacturing site, but it is a third smaller than the number announced.

Who is really carrying the risk?

The public sector is carrying a large share of it, directly and indirectly. The European Investment Bank's $1.038 billion is the single largest identified piece. Of that, $500 million sits under a guarantee from the Swedish National Debt Office and $400 million under InvestEU, the European Commission's programme for backing private investment with an EU budget guarantee. The remaining $138.7 million is lent through participating commercial banks. The Nordic Investment Bank adds an 11-year loan of $97.3 million.

Behind the commercial banks stand the export credit agencies. Euler Hermes, the Export-Import Bank of Korea (KEXIM), Korea Trade Insurance Corporation (K-Sure) and Nippon Export and Investment Insurance (NEXI) are providing guarantees and direct funding. An export credit agency, or ECA, is a state-backed body that supports deals linked to its home country's industry, often where equipment or suppliers come from that country. Their presence means sovereign credit stands behind a meaningful part of what the 23 banks are lending.

The other support is commercial. Northvolt has more than $55 billion of orders from customers including BMW, Fluence, Scania, Volvo Cars and Volkswagen Group. Set against $5 billion of debt, that is cover of about eleven times on paper. Offtake contracts of this kind are what make a non-recourse factory loan possible at all, because they give lenders a view of future revenue before the extra capacity is built.

Enerdatics' data shows that Leap records eight financings of $500 million or more for electric vehicle and battery businesses in Europe across 2023 and 2024. Northvolt's $5 billion is the largest by far. The next biggest is Verkor's roughly $1.78 billion green loan from 19 banks for its Dunkirk gigafactory in May 2024, which makes Northvolt's package about 2.8 times larger. The four other debt and bond raises in that group, from Verkor, Gridserve and RCI Banque, total about $3.9 billion between them, less than Northvolt raised in one transaction.

What does the deal signal for European battery manufacturing?

It signals that Europe's largest battery financings are being built on public balance sheets as much as private ones. The EIB, the Nordic Investment Bank, a Swedish state guarantee, an EU budget guarantee and four foreign export credit agencies all sit inside one loan. The same pattern appears at other sites. Eight days earlier, Germany committed about $987 million towards Northvolt's planned factory in Heide, a case covered in how Germany kept Northvolt's Heide battery plant out of America.

It also shows how far European support has had to stretch to compete with the United States. In America the federal government lends directly, as with the BlueOval SK loan from the US Department of Energy. In Sweden the equivalent support arrives as layers of guarantees wrapped around commercial bank debt.

The scale ambition behind the loan is large. Northvolt has secured more than $13 billion in equity and debt across its plans. Its 60 GWh of annual production represents about 40 percent of the 150 GWh target for 2030 it set in 2022, and a second 60 GWh gigafactory is under construction in Quebec. The question the structure leaves open is how much of that ambition the private lenders would have funded without the state standing behind them.

Frequently asked questions

How much did Northvolt raise for Northvolt Ett? Northvolt raised a $5 billion non-recourse project financing, including the refinancing of a previous $1.6 billion debt package.

Who lent Northvolt the $5 billion? A group of 23 commercial banks, the European Investment Bank and the Nordic Investment Bank, with guarantees and direct funding from the Swedish National Debt Office, Euler Hermes, KEXIM, NEXI and K-Sure.

Who advised Northvolt on the financing? Mannheimer Swartling and Allen & Overy advised Northvolt, and BNP Paribas acted as senior debt advisor.

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